Transferências intergovernamentais voluntárias estratégicas: uma análise da esfera federal para os municípios do Tocantins no período de 2015 a 2020

Abstract

This study analyzes the influence of political alignment on strategic intergovernmental party transfers, which are voluntary transfers between federal and municipal entities, specifically in the state of Tocantins from 2015 to 2020. The data was obtained from IBGE, TSE, and the transparency portal. To achieve the proposed objectives, a balanced panel data regression model was used, with a fixed effects model. In this context, three out of the eight investigated variables were found to have significance for higher transfers to municipalities in Tocantins, namely: party affiliation; second term in office; and PIB per capita. In addition, indices regarding municipal development were evaluated, for this purpose data on basic sanitation in the treatment of water and treated sewage, fiscal management, formal employment and education were used, in order to verify the real performance of the municipalities with the largest and smaller intergovernmental transfers. It was verified, therefore, that among the regions with the lowest transfers, the influence of the “second term” variable generates a positive impact on the development and growth of the city, this occurred in the city of Sucupira. In the regions that receive the largest transfers, the variables that should imply greater transfers do not weigh considerably on those that generate development, that is, there are external influences that are analyzed in this dissertation that can intervene in the results entered.